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Homebuyers Shouldn’t Worry About 2008 All Over Again

Last week, realtor.com released a survey of active home shoppers (those who plan to purchase their next home in 1 year or less). The survey asked their opinion on an impending recession and its possible impact on the housing market.

Two major takeaways from the survey:

  • 42% believe a recession will occur this year or next (another 16% said 2021)
  • 59% believe the housing market would fare the same or worse than it did in 2008

Why all the talk about a recession recently?

Over the last year, four separate surveys have been taken asking when we can expect the next recession to occur:

  1. The Pulsenomics Survey of Market Analysts
  2. The Wall Street Journal Survey of Economists
  3. The Duke University Survey of American CFOs
  4. The National Association of Business Economics

70% of all respondents to the four surveys believe that a recession will occur in 2019 or 2020 with an additional 18% saying 2021.

However, we must realize that a recession does not mean we will experience another housing crash. According to the dictionary definition, a recession is:

“A period of temporary economic decline during which trade and industrial activity are reduced, generally identified by a fall in GDP in two successive quarters.”

During the last recession, a dramatic fall in home values helped cause it.

However, according to research done by CoreLogic, home values weren’t negatively impacted as they were in 2008 during the previous four recessions:

Homebuyers Shouldn’t Worry About 2008 All Over Again | Simplifying The Market

During the four recessions prior to 2008, home values depreciated only once (at a level that was less than 2%). The other three times home values appreciated, twice well above the historic norm of 3.6%.

Bottom Line

If there is an economic slowdown in our near future, there is no need for fear to set in. Most experts agree with Ralph McLaughlin, CoreLogic’s Deputy Chief Economist, who recently explained that there’s no reason to panic right now, even if we may be headed for a recession.

“We’re seeing a cooling of the housing market, but nothing that indicates a crash.”

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters

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Joseph Garcia

https://www.dfweliteliving.com

Joseph Garcia is a proud native Texan, born in Lubbock, raised in San Antonio and loving Dallas. Everyday Joseph uses his more than 16 years experience in the Real Estate industry to help better serve his clients. Joseph started his career in Property Management, Apartment Locating, and Leasing, then quickly transitioned into becoming a full-time residential agent in 2007. Today, Joseph continues to focus on Residential sales and with his broad knowledge base can even assist his clients with Commercial deals.

Joseph is dedicated to helping individuals and families find their dream home and more importantly, the lifestyle they desire! What clients love about Joseph the most is his passion for life and​ ​outgoing personality. When it comes to marketing and selling homes "JoJo Sells" uses the power of Social Media to move homes quickly.

​Joseph also prides himself in making sure each deal gets to the closing table​ no matter how difficult the deal is​. He also goes above and beyond to ensure his clients find the perfect home match whether it's personal or investment. Joseph's extensive network of Real Estate professionals in Sales, Leasing, Lending, Home Inspection, Home Repair and Title make every transaction as seamless as possible.

Joseph carries the distinguished Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS) Designation from the Institute for Luxury Home Marketing and a Global Elite Certification which provides access to a Global Real Estate Network.

Joseph completed the Metrotex Leadership Academy class of 24 and immediately after served as a ROC to mentor the Medical / Sports day of class 25. In 2015 he partnered with 5 other individuals to create and serve as the Marketing Chair for the Non-Profit Gay And Lesbian Organization of Real Estate (GALORE) to address unique Real Estate issues facing the Gay and Lesbian community. Joseph is also a member of the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals (NAHREP), as well as Young Professionals Network (YPN) & Metrotex Leadership Alumni.

He currently services as the Sales Director in the VIVO Uptown office and every day shares his vast Real Estate experience by coaching and mentoring new agents. When you're working with Joseph, you're working with not only a fun agent, but one of the best!

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